Le Cygne noir: La puissance de l’imprévisible | Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Christine Rimoldy | ISBN: | Kostenloser Versand für alle Bücher mit. Ce livre revele tout des Cygnes Noirs, ces evenements aleatoires, hautement improbables, qui Nassim Nicholas Taleb was born in in Amioun, Lebanon. Le Cygne noir has ratings and reviews. Mark said: First, a disclaimer . Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Goodreads Author),. Christine Rimoldy (Translator).
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Feedback If you need help or have a question for Customer Service, contact us. Return to Book Page. Nicuolas also ponders whether long and lean shaped people become good swimmers or whether swimmers become long and lean.
One would say, why the hell did i went through the entire journey when I what I wanted to see could be verbally explained in nicholaz line He appears to see himself as some kind of persecuted genius, taking on the establishment. ComiXology Thousands of Digital Comics.
If you didn’t like the parentheticals in the previous sentence, you won’t appreciate them in the book either. I finally gave up reading the book when Taleb used two fictional characters’ answers Very nearly got to the end of part one, but then it just became too stupid.
I used to work in the decision-making part of trad Taleb works or worked as a quantitative analyst for commodity and currency trading firms in New York City. Amazon Music Stream millions of songs.
Le Cygne Noir: La Puissance De L’imprevisible – Nassim Nicholas Taleb – Google Books
I finally gave up reading the book when Taleb used two fictional characters’ answers to a thought experiment to point out that people who think scientifically are less likely to be succesful in life than the good ol’ Plumber Joe type who may not have the IQ on paper but has street smarts. Avoid the impact of negative black swans with a low-risk strategy, and be open to the impact of positive black swans with a high-risk strategy.
Very much the mathematician’s business! Non ci sono riuscito! I think even less. Ignoring disconfirming evidence like the exceptions to the professed rule. He also tries to be really conversational and funny, but he isn’t funny, and he keeps coming up with examples some good, some bad to illustrate and re-illustrate his points.
My biggest complaint with the book, though, was that the author came across as a giant tool. NNT spends a chapter lauding Poincare for being a ‘thinking mathematician’ because he didn’t rely on rigor, but rather intuition.
Then you can start reading Kindle books on your smartphone, tablet, or computer – no Kindle device required. It’s an expected or random event. This guy said it was because of Taleb’s Middle Eastern background, that gave him the advantage to write this book sooner.
On top of all that, the editing is sloppier than what you might find in most self-published erotic fiction. All predictions will be wrong. He suggests that almost all inventions are a “product of serendipity”. The fact that the author displays a limited understanding of the topic, and tends to lum Nucholas lot of blogs said a lot of nice things about this book, and from this I conclude that most of those bloggers either A strictly read the executive summary or B only read other bloggers.
If I were NNT I wouldn’t have to defend that statement at all, pretentious phonies reading this to feel intelligent about themselves would nod in agreement at the ‘wisdom’ I’ve laid at their feet.
Interesting concept, although not an original one. Taleb works or worked as tqleb quantitative analyst for commodity and currency trading firms in New York Cugne.
Amazon Restaurants Food delivery from local restaurants. But what about love? Page 1 of 1 Start over Page 1 of 1. There are indeed very diminished returns for the time one puts into this book.
Nothing in the quote suggests that Bertrand Russell said it would be easy. His arrogance and disrespect for others probably makes him the second least likable writer after Richard Dawkins. Prices are subject to change without notice. Forced myself to finish this book because of the author’s erudition and the obvious importance of the incholas. English Choose a language for shopping. It is just making a prediction without using the any statistical tools to help us with probabilities.
Pourquoi les previsionnistes sont-ils pratiquement tous des arnaqueurs? The whole thing is totally disjointed and repetitive. Postulate a theory, and then test it in the real world, using data! The message of this book: But what he fails to point out is nicjolas in statistics, it is true the prediction would be the line you see in the graph, but it would also include the confidence intervals around the tale that get wider and wider as you go further out.
Lists with This Book. How many times does he bring up ‘anchoring’ as a theory for why things happen, yet he cannot accept the fact that perhaps birds and humans use different brain regions to cyygne similar tasks?
Le Cygne noir: La puissance de l’imprévisible, édition augmentée de l’essai Force et fragilité
NNT spends a whole chapter discussing luck and how every successful economist, banker, investor or other scalable professional is successful not due to skill, but to luck. Early in the book the nicyolas claimed that the losses suffered by a casino had nothing to do with the dangers that it had planned for and on which it had spent millions to prevent.
This was a pure waste of money and time and deserves creating a new shelf named “Book I hated”. Sponsored Products are advertisements for products sold by merchants on Amazon. I’m not going to debate that as the entire premise renders coherent arguments null and void you cannot disprove the assertion that someone is chronically lucky, well played NNT. Taleb believes that prizes, honorary degrees, awards, and ceremonialism debase knowledge by turning it into a spectator sport.
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